More Oscar ramblings

[cleolinda]

Is very cold. Wisdom teeth ache, but less than usual.

Have just finished a round of Oscar pool statistics--you can see the full list on SAST, but here's how the first 32 players (not including me, because I haven't transferred my predictions to the form yet) have voted:

Best Picture: Return of the King (100%)

Best Director: Peter Jackson (93.7%)

Best Actor: Bill Murray (59.3%)

Best Actress: Charlize Theron (87.5%)

Best Supporting Actor: Tim Robbins (68.7%)

Best Supporting Actress: Renée Zellweger (65.6%)

I'm actually surprised by the low number of prediction votes Robbins has gotten--I'd say he's the surest of sure things. But then, surer things have lost before. And it does seem like the public favors Murray, although I will note that some people forget that they're predicting how a certain group of 1000 people will vote, not who they actually want to win. Which I'm guilty of myself sometimes--I biffed the pool so badly last year because I could just not bring myself to vote against Two Towers in several key categories, even though I knew it wouldn't win; you feel like you're jinxing your favorite if you do. Of course, then there was the Brody-Polanski one-two punch that hardly anyone saw coming. But I digress.

Oh, and I forgot--if you want a special Oscar pool icon, snaffle away:

Comments

[skyblade.livejournal.com]

I think the reason Robbins' was so low is because this has been the most low key category.

Also, the Oscar for this category tends not to go to movie stars, but rather character actors ready to move on to the big leaugues, like Kevin Spacey or Benicio Del Toro.

[alysscarlet.livejournal.com]

I had a problem distinguishing between how I thought the Oscar voters would vote and how *I* wanted to vote!

Thanks for the icon - can we hotlink it in our Livejournals as a link to the Dailydigest Oscar Pool or will that cause you bandwidth problems?

[cleolinda.livejournal.com]

Well, since it's a special occasion and a small graphic, go ahead. It's in my Photobucket.com account anyway--they're free if you want one. I love PB because they write the img src code for you. :)